Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Expectation of strong support from GoI
The government should continue to provide strong support both on an ongoing basis and in the event of distress. This is because, GoI is the majority shareholder in public sector banks (PSBs) and is the guardian of India's financial system. Stability of the banking sector is of prime importance to the government, considering the sector’s criticality to the economy, the strong public perception of sovereign backing for PSBs, and adverse implications of any PSB failure, in terms of political fallout, systemic stability, and investor confidence. The majority ownership creates a moral obligation on the government to support PSBs, including UCO Bank.
GoI has supported UCO Bank with infusion of Rs 22,645 crore during fiscals 2016 to 2022. Of this, Rs 2,600 crore was infused in fiscal 2021; consequently, tier 1 and capital-to-risk weighted assets ratio (CRAR) were at 11.14% and 13.74%, respectively, as on March 31, 2021. Tier 1 and CRAR were stable year on year (y-o-y) at 10.97% and 13.74% as on March 31, 2022, despite generating a healthy net profit in fiscal 2022; mainly due to impact of around 125bps from directive of the RBI on the fair valuation of zero-coupon recapitalisation bonds. This had got into effect for the three months ended March 31, 2022. Tier 1 and CRAR were 11.29% and 14.13%, respectively, as on June 30, 2022.
Moderate resource profile
Total deposits increased 9% on year to Rs 2,24,073 crore as on March 31, 2022 (Rs 2,25,328 crore as on June 30, 2022). Ratio of current account and savings account (CASA) deposits to total deposits was 38.73% as on June 30, 2022, and 39.42% as on March 31, 2022. Of the CASA deposits, saving deposits accounted for 90%, and current deposits for the remaining 10%. Additionally, cost of deposits improved to 3.77% in fiscal 2022 from 4.24% in fiscal 2021.
The bank should maintain its resource profile, supported by its established market position in eastern India, which has helped maintain a stable deposit base in the region.
Weakness:
Average, albeit improving, asset quality and profitability
Asset quality remains average, albeit it improved in fiscal 2022 with gross NPAs at 7.89% as on March 31, 2022, (7.42% as on June 30, 2022), as compared with 9.59% a year ago. The improvement was driven by write-offs of Rs 3,851 crore in fiscal 2022 (Rs 594 crore in the three months ended June 30, 2022). Net slippages to net advances were 3.62% in fiscal 2022 and 0.33% in the three months ended June 30, 2022. Majority of stress in the corporate book is already recognised, and fresh slippage in this segment is expected to be relatively lower. As on March 31, 2022, restructured advances accounted for 3.60% of the bank portfolio, and gross NPAs in the restructured book were at 9.80%. Net NPAs were 2.70% as on March 31, 2022, (2.49% as on June 30, 2022) from 3.94% a year ago.
The strategy to grow more granular assets in the retail, and MSME segments, and adoption of conservative approach while lending to corporates, augurs well for the asset quality. Also, increasing proportion of high-yield retail, agriculture, and MSME segments have resulted in steady improvement in net interest margin to 2.47% in fiscal 2022 (2.47% for the three months ended June 30, 2022) from 2.24% in fiscal 2021. Profitability has further benefitted from lower credit cost, which reduced to 1.21% in from 2.16% during same time periods. RoA was 0.36% in fiscal 2022, up from 0.07% in fiscal 2021, and net profit was Rs 930 crore in fiscal 2022, from Rs 167 crore in fiscal 2021.
Net profit was Rs 124 crore (annualised RoA 0.19%) during the three months ended June 30, 2022, which was impacted by mark-to-market losses in treasury operations in the ongoing rising interest rate environment. Bank maintained a healthy provision cover of 68% as on June 30, 2022.
Nevertheless, ability to manage collections and control credit costs, particularly that from the restructured book, and improve profitability will remain key monitorables.